Swedish military intelligence on the great power rivalry over Greenland

People hold Greenlandic flags and placards as they gather by the United States Consulate to march in protest against U.S. President Donald Trump and his announced intent to acquire Greenland on January 17, 2026 in Nuuk, Greenland. Greenlandic, Danish and other European leaders are hoping they can still avert an intervention by the United States to forcefully acquire the island as U.S. President Donald Trump continues to insist the U.S. must have Greenland, suggesting even by military means if necessary. (Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
  • The Swedish military intelligence and security service (Must) sees developments in the Arctic, including Greenland, as a result of increasing rivalry between the Russia, China and the U.S.
  • Greenland’s melting ice sheet, along with the wider Arctic sea ice, is opening up new shipping routes and opportunities to access valuable resources. At the same time, there are new areas of conflict between the rival powers.
  • Thomas Nilsson, director of the agency, says they are following developments around Greenland closely.
Radio Sweden

For more on how Swedish military sees developments in Greenland, listen to Radio Sweden’s full report.

Related stories from around the North: 

Canada: Carney says he spoke with China’s Xi about Greenland, Arctic sovereignty, The Canadian Press

Denmark: Analysis-Denmark sets a military tripwire. It’s a message to Trump more than Russia or China, CBC News

Finland: Finland preparing to send two liaison officers to Greenland, Yle News

Greenland: New Italy Arctic policy adds U.S. Greenland ambitions to growing Arctic competition narrative, Eye on the Arctic

Iceland: NATO chief to Arctic Allies: “We’re all frontline states now,” as Iceland’s role grows, Eye on the Arctic

Norway: “We want to be Europe’s most integrated region in terms of defence”, The Independent Barents Observer

Russia: Russia claims first-ever North Pole aerial refuelling, TASS reports, Reuters

Sweden: Swedish military to Greenland ahead of exercise, Radio Sweden

United States: EU to hold emergency summit on Trump’s tariff threat over Greenland, Reuters 

Radio Sweden

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