Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau scratches his forehead as he listens to a question during an end of session news conference in Ottawa, Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2018. The past year has been a turbulent one on the Canadian political scene and the coming year is bound to get that much more tumultuous as politicians prepare for what both Trudeau and Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer have predicted will be a nasty campaign. (Adrian Wyld/THE CANADIAN PRESS)

Trudeau’s popularity sinks amid fallout from SNC-Lavalin scandal: poll

The scandal over the federal government’s handling of a corruption case facing Canadian engineering and construction giant SNC-Lavalin has tarnished Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s brand eroded the foundation of his Liberal Party’s electoral support among key groups, finds a new poll.

Two months after the scandal blew up, resulting in high-profile resignations of two Liberal members of cabinet, an outspoken Liberal MP and Trudeau’s right hand man, as well as Canada’s most senior bureaucrat, the opposition Conservative Party has acquired a nine-point lead over the Liberals, according to a new analysis of public opinion polling data by the non-profit Angus Reid Institute.

While the Conservatives enjoy the support of 37 per cent of the decided and leaning vote, the governing Liberals have dropped three points to 28 per cent as the SNC-Lavalin affair continues to dominate the headlines.

The principal beneficiaries of this decline in Liberal support appear to be the left-of-centre New Democratic Party (NDP) and smaller parties, including the Green Party and the upstart right-of-centre People’s Party of Canada (PPC), according to the Angus Reid Institute.

(Angus Reid Institute)

These parties are seeing their fortunes rise as the Canadian public expresses unfavourable views of the main parties and their leaders.

In addition, more Canadians have a favourable view of Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer (44 per cent) and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (39 per cent) than Trudeau (36 per cent), according to the poll.

Importantly, nearly half of respondents say they “strongly disapprove” of Trudeau, compared to fewer than one-in-ten who “strongly approve.”

(Angus Reid Institute)

The poll shows that demographics are a huge driver of partisanship, with men and older Canadians much more likely to vote Conservative, while women and younger Canadians are more likely to be sticking with the Liberals or choosing other left-of-centre parties.

In more bad news for the Liberals, they trail the Conservatives in every region of Canada except for Quebec, where vote intentions show a competitive four-way race, poll numbers show.

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2 comments on “Trudeau’s popularity sinks amid fallout from SNC-Lavalin scandal: poll
  1. Avatar Jose Padilla says:

    This scandal about SNC Lavalin is ridiculous. What is the point of paying attention to this, only those who have a personal interest or agenda, who want to gain something at the expense of taxpayers, are interested in this “scandal”. They do not really care about the well-being of the country and its people. Under the pretext of seeking justice, the only thing they seek is their own well-being, fulfill their selfish purpose. There are more important things than SNC Lavalin. In any case, true justice will be rendered in one way or another for the benefit of our great democracy.

  2. Avatar george okoh says:

    Conservative seems like the best choice – at least this election – a lot has happened in the past 5 years (probably the worst 5 years for Alberta) – can’t wait to see who is going to win.