In a bold but unsuccessful move,Venezuela’s opposition leader Juan Guaido appeared at an air force base and asked military leaders to abandon President Nicholas Maduro. (Fernando Llano/AP Photo/April 30, 2019)

Venezuela’s opposition failed to oust Maduro

Share

Venezuela’s opposition leader Juan Guaido lost his bid to get the military to abandon its support for President Nicholas Maduro and his authoritarian rule. Guaido stunned the nation when he appeared flanked by soldiers at an air force base in the capital Caracas on May 1, 2019. With him were the head of military intelligence and Leopoldo Lopez, a political prisoner who is the head of Guaido’s party and had just been released.

The call to action sparked protests in several parts of the country and photos emerged of an armoured vehicle driven directly into demonstrators and another apparently running over a protester. One hospital reported at least 69 people were injured.

An injured man is helped by fellow anti-government protesters during clashes with security forces loyal to President Nicolas Maduro. (Boris Vergara/AP Photo)

Several reasons why military leaders stay by Maduro

Guaido’s move however, did not succeed in convincing other military leaders to join him. And there are many reasons for this, says Jean Daudelin, associate professor of international affairs at Carleton University.

“One of them is that Maduro is offering them significant economic benefits, both legal and illegal. Another one is that Guaido has offered them an amnesty…but it’s not clear in the mind of the military that amnesty will be credible over the long term and they would lose the status and the benefits they currently hold.

“There’s also indications that the generals fear for their families if they switch sides.”

Daudelin also says the International Criminal Court has begun investigating the Maduro regime and even if Guaido wanted to, he could not prevent prosecutions of military leaders. “They are trapped,” he says. “Basically, leaving would not just mean abandoning their source of money, although they have been able to squirrel a lot outside, but where would they go. They would go to Russia or Cuba. What kind of guarantee could they get from the governments there that they would be treated well or fairly.”

Deadlock continues

At the end of the day, Lopez and his family sought refuge in the Spanish embassy and protesters went home.

Of the days developments, Daudelin says, “It’s quite depressing on the side of the opposition.”

During the day Canada’s Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland tweeted Canada’s support for Mr. Guaido. Canada is among about 50 countries that have consistently recognized Guaido as the leader of Venezuela and have exerted diplomatic pressure to have Maduro cede power to him. Canada and other countries are exploring the possibility of holding elections in Venezuela but there does not appear to be an incentive for Maduro to agree.

There is no sign of a quick end to the long standoff.

Prof. Jean Daudelin says there are many reasons why the military resists calls to abandon President Nicolas Maduro and join the opposition.

Listen
Share
Categories: International
Tags: , , ,

Do you want to report an error or a typo? Click here!

@*@ Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

 characters available

Note: By submitting your comments, you acknowledge that Radio Canada International has the right to reproduce, broadcast and publicize those comments or any part thereof in any manner whatsoever. Radio Canada International does not endorse any of the views posted. Your comments will be pre-moderated and published if they meet netiquette guidelines.

Netiquette »

When you express your personal opinion in an online forum, you must be as courteous as if you were speaking with someone face-to-face. Insults and personal attacks will not be tolerated. To disagree with an opinion, an idea or an event is one thing, but to show disrespect for other people is quite another. Great minds don’t always think alike—and that’s precisely what makes online dialogue so interesting and valuable.

Netiquette is the set of rules of conduct governing how you should behave when communicating via the Internet. Before you post a message to a blog or forum, it’s important to read and understand these rules. Otherwise, you may be banned from posting.

  1. RCInet.ca’s online forums are not anonymous. Users must register, and give their full name and place of residence, which are displayed alongside each of their comments. RCInet.ca reserves the right not to publish comments if there is any doubt as to the identity of their author.
  2. Assuming the identity of another person with intent to mislead or cause harm is a serious infraction that may result in the offender being banned.
  3. RCInet.ca’s online forums are open to everyone, without regard to age, ethnic origin, religion, gender or sexual orientation.
  4. Comments that are defamatory, hateful, racist, xenophobic, sexist, or that disparage an ethnic origin, religious affiliation or age group will not be published.
  5. In online speak, writing in ALL CAPS is considered yelling, and may be interpreted as aggressive behaviour, which is unpleasant for the people reading. Any message containing one or more words in all caps (except for initialisms and acronyms) will be rejected, as will any message containing one or more words in bold, italic or underlined characters.
  6. Use of vulgar, obscene or objectionable language is prohibited. Forums are public places and your comments could offend some users. People who use inappropriate language will be banned.
  7. Mutual respect is essential among users. Insulting, threatening or harassing another user is prohibited. You can express your disagreement with an idea without attacking anyone.
  8. Exchanging arguments and opposing views is a key component of healthy debate, but it should not turn into a dialogue or private discussion between two users who address each other without regard for the other participants. Messages of this type will not be posted.
  9. Radio Canada International publishes contents in five languages. The language used in the forums has to be the same as the contents we publish or in one of the two official languages, English or French. The usage of other languages, with the exception of some words, is forbidden. Messages that are off-topic will not be published.
  10. Making repetitive posts disrupts the flow of discussions and will not be tolerated.
  11. Adding images or any other type of file to comments is forbidden. Including hyperlinks to other websites is allowed, as long as they comply with netiquette. Radio Canada International  is in no way responsible for the content of such sites, however.
  12. Copying and pasting text written by someone else, even if you credit the author, is unacceptable if that text makes up the majority of your comment.
  13. Posting any type of advertising or call to action, in any form, to Radio Canada International  forums is prohibited.
  14. All comments and other types of content are moderated before publication. Radio Canada International  reserves the right to refuse any comment for publication.
  15. Radio Canada International  reserves the right to close a forum at any time, without notice.
  16. Radio Canada International  reserves the right to amend this code of conduct (netiquette) at any time, without notice.
  17. By participating in its online forums, you allow Radio Canada International to publish your comments on the web for an indefinite time. This also implies that these messages will be indexed by Internet search engines.
  18. Radio Canada International has no obligation to remove your messages from the web if one day you request it. We invite you to carefully consider your comments and the consequences of their posting.

*