US President Trump and his choice for Secretary of Commerce , billionaire Wilbur Ross. Both have said NAFTA and other trade deals have to be renegotiated.

US President Trump and his choice for Secretary of Commerce , billionaire Wilbur Ross. Both have said NAFTA and other trade deals have to be renegotiated.
Photo Credit: Carolyn Kaster/Associated Press

Trump, trade, and the controversial investor dispute clauses

It has become possibly the most controversial aspect of international trade deals.

The Investor State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) clause in such mega trade deals is designed to protect investors in projects in foreign countries which have signed on.

US President Trump says he wants to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), but one expert says whatever happens the ISDS will likely stay.

David Schneiderman  (BA LLB LLM) is a professor in the Faculty of Law at the University of Toronto, and occasional columnist on international legal matters such as trade.

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Professor David Schniederman (BA LLB LLM), Faculty of Law and the University of Toronto is an expert on international investment law and trade
Professor David Schniederman (BA LLB LLM), Faculty of Law and the University of Toronto is an expert on international investment law and trade © U of T

The ISDS mechanism is designed to take any investment disputes out of national courts and legal systems and instead send them to a trade dispute tribunal.

The US has never lost any challenge against it, while Canada and Mexico have lost most of the challenges launched against them.

Many advocacy groups in Canada say these rules are particularly onerous as they can change political decisions on social or environmental issues over fears of being subject to huge lawsuits. Indeed Canada has been sued often over such things, and lost.

Professor Schneiderman says one of his concerns is that the disputes are decided by investment lawyers and arbitrators who have a particular world view with a narrow focus on business issues and do not take into account many other nuanced facts the way a court would.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his ministers are in Calgary for a two day retreat to discuss strateegy in dealing with the new US administration. © Jeff McIntosh/Canadian Press)

He notes there are cases in Canada where this would appear to have been the case, and others where the tribunal for apparent political considerations has sided with the US against the evidence placed before it.

Stephen Schwarzman, chair of President Donald Trump’s strategic and policy forum, answers questions at a news conference after meeting with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Calgary.
Stephen Schwarzman, chair of President Donald Trump’s strategic and policy forum, answers questions at a news conference after meeting with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Calgary. Schwarzman said Trudeau should not be ’enormously worried’ about the prospect of Trump renegotiating NAFTA © Todd Korol/Canadian Press

The recently negotiated CETA deal between Canada and the EU also has such a clause, which he says is little different in spite of proponents claims that it is much more progressive.

It is of course still far from certain what President Trump will do, whether NAFTA will be tweaked, completely renegotiated, or scrapped, or what he might do with other trade deals  but it seems likely that he would not do away with the ISDS clauses which have become so controversial outside the US.

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